2012 Oscars Postgame Analysis

OK, so how did I do with yesterday’s pregame predictions for the 84th Academy Awards? All in all, not too shabby: 14 wins and 10 misses.

In my defense, I think this was a particularly difficult year to predict – which, objectively, is a good thing.

Let’s look at the results…

Best Picture 
Winner: The Artist

Prediction: The Artist

Directing
 Winner: Michel Hazanavicius

Prediction:  Hazanavicius

Actress in a Leading Role
Winner: Meryl Streep

Prediction: Viola Davis.  Oops! But in my defense, this was a HUGE upset.

Actor in a Leading RoleWinner: Jean Dujardin

Prediction:  Dujardin

Actress in a Supporting Role
 Winner: Octavia Spencer

Prediction: Spencer.

Christopher Plummer

Actor in a Supporting Role
 Winner: Christopher Plummer

Prediction:  Plummer

Writing (Adapted Screenplay) Winner: Hugo

Prediction: Hugo

Writing (Original Screenplay) 
 Winner: Midnight in Paris

Prediction: Midnight in Paris

Cinematography
 Winner: Hugo

Prediction:  Tree of Life. Nope!

Art Direction
Winner: Hugo

Prediction:  Hugo

Costume Design
 Winner: The Artist

Prediction: The Artist

Visual Effects 
Winner: Hugo

Prediction: Rise of the Planet of the Apes. Can you blame me?

Animated Feature Film Winner: Rango

Prediction: Rango

Foreign Language Film
 Winner: A Separation

Prediction: A Separation

Film Editing
 Winner: The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo

Prediction: The Artist. My reasoning – best picture usually gets best editing – was sound.

MakeupWinner: The Iron Lady

Prediction: The Iron Lady

Music (Original Score) 
Winner: The Artist

Prediction: War Horse. Horse meat.

Music (Original Song) Winner: “Man or Muppet.”

Prediction: “Man or Muppet”

Sound Editing 
Winner: Hugo

Prediction: Transformers: Dark of the Moon. The automaton beat the robots.

Hugo

Sound Mixing 
Winner: Hugo

Prediction: The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo was no match for Hugo.

Documentary (Feature) 
Winner: Undefeated

Prediction: Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory. Oh, hell!

Documentary (Short Subject) 
Winner: Saving Face

Prediction:  The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom.

Short Film (Animated) Winner: The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore

Prediction: The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore

Short Film (Live Action) 
Winner: The Shore

Prediction: Raju (I still don’t know what any of these are about).

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